Track record · closed signal

Morgan Stanley (MS) — closed signal from August 24, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 22, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

MS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$147.12 Published $163.78 Target $158.17 Window close $171.77 Peak
$143.25 – $149.18Entry zone — fair-value band
$147.12Published — price the day we called it
$163.78Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$171.77Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$158.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 52 days.

Peak price
$171.77
peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$158.17
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
52
Window
August 24, 2025 – November 22, 2025

The thesis — published August 24, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$163.78
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$143.25 – $149.18
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$147.12
published August 24, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Morgan Stanley's share price has been settling into a stable range, and the recent average price is trending up, which can hint at improving interest. Steady wealth management fees help smooth out tougher periods. If interest rates start to fall, deals and trading could pick up, lifting profits. Some investors seem to be shifting toward bank stocks. Near-term results and rules remain a headwind, so pace entries.

Primary drivers

  • Recent average price trending up; shares forming a steady trading range
  • Wealth management fees provide steady income during tougher markets
  • Industry shifts suggest investors are moving money toward bank stocks
  • Lower interest rates could revive deals and trading activity at the firm

How it played out

MS: target reached in 52 days

Lyra published MS at 147.12 on 2025-08-24 with 12% expected growth and a 163.78 target. The thesis pointed to a recent average price trending up, a steady trading range, wealth management fees, investor movement toward bank stocks, and the chance that lower rates could help deals and trading.

Inside the window ending 2025-11-22, MS reached the target in 52 days. It peaked at 171.77 on 2025-11-12, a 16.8% gain. It ended at 158.17. The thesis played out. The price reached the target and later gave back part of the move.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-15, Morgan Stanley reported third-quarter results. Reuters reported that profit rose and revenue reached 18.22 billion. On 2025-10-29, Reuters reported that Morgan Stanley agreed to buy EquityZen, a private shares platform.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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