Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from June 10, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 8, 2026 — +4.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$72.51 Published $87.01 Target $75.86 Window close $79.06 Peak
$70.00 – $73.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$72.51Published — price the day we called it
$87.01Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$79.06Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$75.86Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 45% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+4.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.9%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$75.86
last close inside the window, ended September 8, 2026
Peak price
$79.06
peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$87.01
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$70.00 – $73.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$72.51
published June 10, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vista looks appealing because its production growth and profitability support the stock price, and the sector is seeing continued investment in projects and technology. However, recent quarterly results have been uneven and the company faces oil-price swings and country risk, so the position is seen as tactical for the near term.

Primary drivers

  • Production growth and profits justify the current price case
  • Industry project activity supports continued investment into the sector
  • Stock is oversold, creating room for a short-term rebound
  • Oil-price swings and country exposure keep overall risk higher

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All VIST signals