Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from June 3, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 1, 2026 — -2.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$76.97 Published $90.05 Target $74.71 Window close $77.93 Peak
$72.00 – $77.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$76.97Published — price the day we called it
$90.05Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$77.93Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$74.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 8% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-2.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+1.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+1.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$74.71
last close inside the window, ended September 1, 2026
Peak price
$77.93
peak on June 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$90.05
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$72.00 – $77.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$76.97
published June 3, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vista is a high-upside but risky energy pick. Strong production growth and interest from value-focused coverage support the case, and a positive price trend helps. However, a recent earnings miss, thin trading, company leverage, and Argentina-specific risks make short-term outcomes sensitive to oil prices and execution, so overall conviction is modest.

Primary drivers

  • Growing output in Vaca Muerta strengthens the growth story
  • Value-focused coverage points to possible upside
  • Positive price trend offsets some recent earnings weakness
  • Country and oil-price risks keep the view cautious

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All VIST signals