Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from June 1, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$75.95 Published $87.34 Target $70.14 Window close $78.00 Peak
$70.00 – $77.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$75.95Published — price the day we called it
$87.34Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$78.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$70.14Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 18% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$78.00
peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+2.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$70.14
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
June 1, 2026 – August 30, 2026

The thesis — published June 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$87.34
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$70.00 – $77.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$75.95
published June 1, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vista offers clear energy growth potential tied to Argentine shale assets, but there are several risks. Recent coverage and insider stake point to value, yet a big earnings shortfall from lower realized oil prices shows results can vary. The stock looks cheap, but gains depend on oil prices, production delivery, capital discipline, and steadier earnings.

Primary drivers

  • Vaca Muerta exposure gives differentiated growth from local shale production
  • Value-focused coverage and insider ownership raise investor attention
  • Performance swings with commodity prices, which drive upside and downside
  • Recent earnings miss shows the company must improve delivery and reporting consistency

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All VIST signals