Track record · closed signal

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) — closed signal from May 31, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 29, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

JPM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$297.97 Published $326.29 Target $357.62 Window close $366.50 Peak
$289.39 – $298.31Entry zone — fair-value band
$297.97Published — price the day we called it
$326.29Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$366.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$357.62Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 16 days.

Peak price
$366.50
peak on August 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+23%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$357.62
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
16
Window
May 31, 2026 – August 29, 2026

The thesis — published May 31, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$326.29
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$289.39 – $298.31
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$297.97
published May 31, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

JPMorgan is being viewed as a steadier way to own banks: it makes good profits, has a strong balance sheet, and earnings have held up. Current market talk favors cheaper, dividend-paying banks, which fits JPMorgan's defensive profile. There is no big company-specific news driving large gains, so expected upside is modest and the near-term stance is to watch.

Primary drivers

  • Big, varied business makes performance steadier across cycles
  • Fits market interest in value and dividend-paying banks
  • Strong balance sheet reduces the chance of big sector losses
  • Expectations are measured because upside is only moderate

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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