Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from May 22, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$76.55 Published $85.73 Target $70.50 Window close $78.00 Peak
$72.00 – $77.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$76.55Published — price the day we called it
$85.73Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$78.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$70.50Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 16% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$78.00
peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+1.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$70.50
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 22, 2026 – August 20, 2026

The thesis — published May 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$85.73
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$72.00 – $77.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$76.55
published May 22, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Production and revenue are growing, but recent profits fell because oil sold for less. The business story is intact, yet earnings jump up and down with oil prices and trading is thin, so the near-term outlook is cautious despite the growth signs.

Primary drivers

  • Production is increasing and supports the growth story
  • Earnings were hit when realized oil prices fell
  • Overall market view of the energy sector is supportive
  • Positive short-term signals are offset by thin trading and volatile earnings

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All VIST signals