Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from May 17, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$72.29 Published $85.30 Target $68.31 Window close $81.44 Peak
$68.00 – $73.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$72.29Published — price the day we called it
$85.30Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$68.31Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 71% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$81.44
peak on May 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$68.31
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
May 17, 2026 – August 15, 2026

The thesis — published May 17, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$85.30
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$68.00 – $73.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$72.29
published May 17, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vista combines faster growth and value in the energy space because it has oil exposure and is developing Latin American shale. Recent analyst updates pushed earnings estimates higher and imply room for price upside. Risks include light trading volume, noticeable debt, and only neutral momentum, so the idea looks better on price pullbacks than after a big commodity-driven jump.

Primary drivers

  • Company shows stronger growth potential within energy names
  • Analyst estimate revisions have recently improved sentiment
  • Direct oil exposure benefits when supply concerns lift prices
  • Stock looks cheaper relative to its expected growth

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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