Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from May 15, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$72.69 Published $84.32 Target $66.19 Window close $81.44 Peak
$68.00 – $73.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$72.69Published — price the day we called it
$84.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$66.19Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 75% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$81.44
peak on May 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$66.19
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
May 15, 2026 – August 13, 2026

The thesis — published May 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$84.32
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$68.00 – $73.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$72.69
published May 15, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vista is a higher-risk oil and gas rebound driven by improving cash flow and better earnings estimates. Strong production and rising cash flows make a case for a higher stock rating, but the shares are not cheap and risks from commodity prices, company debt, low trading volume and Argentina ADR exposure keep conviction limited for the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Stronger cash flow makes investors rethink the stocks value
  • Big production foothold in Vaca Muerta supports growth in output
  • Relatively low price helps balance swings in oil and gas income
  • Argentina ADR status, debt and low volume require smaller sizing

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All VIST signals