Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from May 14, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on August 12, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$68.75 Published $80.43 Target $66.01 Window close $81.44 Peak
$65.00 – $70.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$68.75Published — price the day we called it
$80.43Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$66.01Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 6 days.

Peak price
$81.44
peak on May 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+18.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$66.01
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
6
Window
May 14, 2026 – August 12, 2026

The thesis — published May 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$80.43
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$65.00 – $70.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$68.75
published May 14, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vista offers the biggest upside in the group but comes with higher risk. New guidance points to stronger sales and the stock is trading above its medium-term trend, helped by higher oil prices. The shares look cheap for expected growth, but exposure to the country, local currency and oil prices makes the near-term outlook cautious and tactical.

Primary drivers

  • Sales tied to oil were revised higher, boosting growth expectations
  • Trading above the medium-term trend suggests near-term strength
  • Relatively low valuation could re-rate if oil remains firm
  • Production growth helps offset country and balance sheet concerns

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All VIST signals