Chart Industries Inc. (GTLS) — closed signal from July 30, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 28, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 14% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published July 30, 2025
Chart's stock jumped 16% after energy giant Baker Hughes offered to buy the company for cash and shares worth about $211 each. The shares have slipped back to around $198 as traders pause after the big jump. History shows prices often drift halfway back before climbing again. If the deal is approved, the price should move toward $211 within roughly three months, but official reviews could cause waves.
Primary drivers
- $13.6B bid from Baker Hughes gives a clear target near $211 a share.
- Prices often return halfway after a jump before heading higher again.
- Expected cost savings could boost how much the deal is seen as worth.
- Closing the deal may put the stock in big indexes, forcing fund buying.
How it played out
GTLS: target was not reached
Lyra published GTLS at $198.80 on July 30, 2025, with 8% expected growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to Baker Hughes' bid, a clear target near $211 a share, a possible halfway drift after the jump, expected cost savings, and possible index-related buying if the deal closed.
Inside the window, GTLS peaked at $200.94 on October 2, 2025, with a 1.1% gain. It stayed below the $214.70 target and ended at $199.65 on October 28, 2025. The stock rose a little, but the published thesis did not reach its price target.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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