Track record · closed signal

Applovin Corp (APP) — closed signal from May 2, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 31, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

APP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$460.00 Published $552.00 Target $395.90 Window close $622.00 Peak
$440.00 – $465.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$460.00Published — price the day we called it
$552.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$622.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$395.90Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$622.00
peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+35.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$395.90
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
May 2, 2026 – July 31, 2026

The thesis — published May 2, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$552.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$440.00 – $465.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$460.00
published May 2, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AppLovin is a higher-risk advertising-software name with signs of strong profit margins and solid cash generation. Recent attention centers on AI helping ad performance and active trading in call options, which points to upside interest. Short-term risks include company events, insider selling, and low trading volume; the high price means good earnings follow-through would be important.

Primary drivers

  • AI tools helping ads could keep sales growing
  • Strong cash generation makes growth more durable
  • Heavy options trading signals speculative interest
  • High volatility and event risk mean caution is needed

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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