Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from April 26, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$70.89 Published $81.52 Target $69.06 Window close $81.44 Peak
$68.00 – $72.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$70.89Published — price the day we called it
$81.52Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$69.06Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$81.44
peak on May 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+14.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$69.06
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
April 26, 2026 – July 25, 2026

The thesis — published April 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$81.52
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$68.00 – $72.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$70.89
published April 26, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vista offers exposure to oil and gas growth from Latin American shale, and recent coverage highlights it as a mix of growth and value. Valuation is central to the case. Trading is light and the company carries debt and country-level risk, so confidence is moderate. The near-term trading setup looks constructive if the price stays near trend support and upcoming results confirm production progress.

Primary drivers

  • Shale projects in Latin America that can increase oil and gas output
  • Viewed as both a value stock and a growth name, keeping price focused on valuation
  • Company insiders and positive market mood suggest committed ownership
  • Debt levels and country-specific risks make conviction more cautious

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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