Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from April 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$69.29 Published $76.22 Target $67.02 Window close $81.44 Peak
$67.50 – $69.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$69.29Published — price the day we called it
$76.22Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$67.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price
$81.44
peak on May 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$67.02
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
25
Window
April 23, 2026 – July 22, 2026

The thesis — published April 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$76.22
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$67.50 – $69.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$69.29
published April 23, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vista has a solid business story, but approval is withheld for the next few months because the setup depends too much on the upcoming earnings report and on the price of oil. Analyst interest and insider buying are positive signs, but price action is not clearly steady and the stock can jump or fall with oil. It needs clearer price behavior and a stronger catalyst path.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst praise and insider buying strengthen the story
  • Earnings coming up could define the next move
  • Oil price swings can make gains or losses larger
  • Price action still needs clearer alignment for conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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