Track record · closed signal

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from April 11, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$369.92 Published $428.32 Target $434.11 Window close $479.00 Peak
$356.69 – $364.66Entry zone — fair-value band
$369.92Published — price the day we called it
$428.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$479.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$434.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 46 days.

Peak price
$479.00
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+29.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$434.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
46
Window
April 11, 2026 – July 10, 2026

The thesis — published April 11, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$428.32
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$356.69 – $364.66
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$369.92
published April 11, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TSMC is central to building AI chips, and its business is strong enough to handle tougher market conditions. Recent valuation checks suggest a bit of upside from here, and industry news about packaging points to steady demand. The chart looks crowded, so the trade becomes more attractive if the price pulls back a bit.

Primary drivers

  • AI chip demand is a key long-term growth driver
  • Market-leading foundry position keeps customers coming
  • Valuation work indicates modest upside from current price
  • A controlled pullback would improve the trade setup

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TSM signals