Track record · closed signal

Vista Oil Gas ADR (VIST) — closed signal from April 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 6, 2026 — -15.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

VIST price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$70.00 – $72.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$72.64Published — price the day we called it

$80.63Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$81.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$61.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 43 days.

At window close

-15.7%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+12.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+14.3%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$61.21

last close inside the window, ended July 6, 2026

Peak price

$81.44

peak on May 20, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published April 7, 2026

Predicted growth

+11%

over the measurement window

Target price

$80.63

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$70.00 – $72.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$72.64

published April 7, 2026

Confidence

67%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Broker attention and rising earnings-estimate headlines help explain why the company story is visible, but oil price swings keep trading unstable. Shares fell after a strong run; a continued pullback into support could create a short-term buying window over the next 0-3 months. Still, swings in oil or geopolitical news can overwhelm company progress and move the stock away from fundamentals.

Primary drivers

More estimate-focused headlines make the company story clearer
Broker coverage kept the stock visible during sector turbulence
The decline is forming a clearer short-term support area
Relatively low valuation may limit downside if oil stays steady

How it played out

VIST: target reached in 43 days

Lyra published a short-term thesis for an 11% rise from 72.64, with a target of 80.63. The thesis pointed to estimate-focused headlines, broker coverage, a clearer support area, and a relatively low valuation. It also warned that oil price swings or geopolitical news could overwhelm company progress.

VIST reached 81.44 on May 20, a 12.1% peak gain, and cleared the 80.63 target in 43 days. The price then fell and ended the window at 61.21. The published growth call played out within the stated window, even though the gain did not hold through the end.

What happened during the window

On April 29, 2026, Vista reported first-quarter production of 134,741 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 67% from the prior year. On May 7, 2026, Vista announced that it had completed its acquisition of interests in the Bandurria Sur and Bajo del Toro blocks.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All VIST signals