Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — closed signal from April 4, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on July 3, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
TSM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$330.78 – $340.74Entry zone — fair-value band
$338.42Published — price the day we called it
$405.35Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$479.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$434.16Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 20 days.
Peak price
$479.00
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized returnPeak gain
+41.5%
peak, from the publication priceWindow close
$434.16
end-of-window price, context onlyDays to target
20
Window
April 4, 2026 – July 3, 2026
The thesis — published April 4, 2026
Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement windowTarget price
$405.35
the price the thesis aimed forEntry zone
$330.78 – $340.74
the fair-value band we waited forPrice at publication
$338.42
published April 4, 2026Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined upTimeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
TSMC stands out because demand from AI is backed by real factory expansion and new customer launches, not just hype. Recent news about a partner using TSMC's advanced process and a second factory in Japan shows customers are committing production. The stock sits near recent support with steady buying interest, allowing exposure without chasing a strong surge.
Primary drivers
- AI needs advanced chip making where TSMC leads
- Partner product launches show customers betting on TSMC
- New Japan factory adds capacity and geographic resilience
- Stock is close to recent support with steady buying momentum
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Lyra
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.