Track record · closed signal

Innoviva Inc (INVA) — closed signal from March 16, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

INVA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$22.22 Published $25.33 Target $22.74 Window close $24.45 Peak
$21.50 – $22.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$22.22Published — price the day we called it
$25.33Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$24.45Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$22.74Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 71% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$24.45
peak on April 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$22.74
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
March 16, 2026 – June 14, 2026

The thesis — published March 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$25.33
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$21.50 – $22.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$22.22
published March 16, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Recent company news makes the business story broader and more commercial, and management added a buyback while outlining a clearer list of upcoming events that could push the stock higher. Valuation and cash give some downside protection, and the shares look recovered from prior weakness. However, low trading volume can make short-term moves unreliable, so treat this as an interesting short-term watch idea rather than a high-conviction buy.

Primary drivers

  • Buyback and upcoming events could help the stock recover
  • Moving toward specialty-commercial products expands growth opportunities
  • Cash and valuation provide some protection on downside
  • Low trading volume can make short-term price moves unstable

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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