JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) — closed signal from March 15, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 13, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 33 days.
The thesis — published March 15, 2026
JPMorgan looks like a high-quality bank that has been sold more than it should recently. Its strong capital and broad business mix make it more likely to bounce back if market fears calm. This is not a bet on fast growth but on a return to more normal pricing over the next few months, so keep expectations modest.
Primary drivers
- A leading bank with steady businesses that resist big drops
- Strong capital and cash make the bank safer in trouble
- Stock has fallen enough to allow a return toward normal levels
- Reasonable price today if broader worries ease
How it played out
JPM: target reached in 33 days
Lyra published JPM on 2026-03-15 at $283.44, with an expected gain of 11% and a target of $314.62. The thesis pointed to a leading bank with steady businesses, strong capital and cash, a stock that had fallen enough to allow a return toward normal levels, and a reasonable price if broader worries eased.
Inside the window, JPM reached the target in 33 days. It later peaked at $321.30 on 2026-06-12, above the target, with a peak gain of 13.4%. The window ended at $320.72. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On 2026-04-14, JPMorgan Chase reported first-quarter profit of $16.5 billion, or $5.94 per share, and revenue of $49.84 billion. The report said revenue rose 10%.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.