Track record · closed signal

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) — closed signal from March 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$97.41 Published $109.10 Target $113.58 Window close $114.26 Peak
$95.50 – $98.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$97.41Published — price the day we called it
$109.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$114.26Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$113.58Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 66 days.

Peak price
$114.26
peak on May 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+17.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$113.58
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
66
Window
March 1, 2026 – May 30, 2026

The thesis — published March 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$109.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$95.50 – $98.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$97.41
published March 1, 2026
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

TD is suggested as a short-term financial holding for up to three months because recent earnings news and a renewed share buyback have increased demand. If the stock keeps recent support and the market does not plunge, it is more likely to slowly rise. Expect gradual gains; buy in on price weakness rather than chasing quick up moves.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings and buyback news can boost buying soon
  • Big, varied bank operations fit a moderate short-term role
  • Entry range is close to recent support, helping manage loss size
  • Price moves may be steady, so avoid buying after big up days

How it played out

TD: target reached in 66 days

Lyra published TD on 2026-03-01 at 97.41 as a short-term financial holding for up to three months. The thesis expected 12% growth to 109.10. It pointed to recent earnings news, a renewed share buyback, broad bank operations, an entry range near support, and the idea that gains would likely be gradual rather than fast.

Inside the window, TD rose past the target. It reached the target in 66 days and peaked at 114.26 on 2026-05-29, with a 17.3% peak gain. It ended at 113.58 on 2026-05-30. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On May 28, 2026, the Wall Street Journal reported that TD lifted its dividend after its quarter and that adjusted earnings exceeded analyst expectations. This was reported during the measurement window, but it was not proof of why the stock moved.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TD signals