The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) — closed signal from February 28, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 29, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 67 days.
The thesis — published February 28, 2026
Shares have been staying near recent highs and dips are being bought, helped by news of better-than-expected results and analyst upgrades. That keeps big investors interested. Momentum looks positive but trading volume can be unpredictable, so enter in stages and use tight limits in case rates or credit news reverse the move.
Primary drivers
- Strong earnings and analyst upgrades are keeping buyers interested
- Price holding near highs suggests the up-move can continue
- If interest rates calm, financial risk looks more balanced
- Clear trade plan with defined support levels and stop points
How it played out
TD: target reached in 67 days
Lyra published a short-term TD thesis on 2026-02-28 at 97.41. It expected 12% growth and used a 109.1 target. The thesis pointed to strong earnings, analyst upgrades, price holding near highs, calmer rates, and a trade plan with defined support levels and stop points.
Inside the window, TD reached the target in 67 days. The peak was 114.26 on 2026-05-29, above the 109.1 target, with a 17.3% peak gain. It ended at 113.58. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On May 28, 2026, The Wall Street Journal reported that Toronto-Dominion Bank raised its dividend after second-quarter results. It also reported adjusted earnings of C$2.38 per share and revenue of C$15.8 billion.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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