Track record · closed signal

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) — closed signal from January 18, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on April 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

JPM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$305.00 – $315.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$312.47Published — price the day we called it

$349.97Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$326.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$310.29Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 38% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$326.40

peak on February 9, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+4.5%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$310.29

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

January 18, 2026 – April 18, 2026

The thesis — published January 18, 2026

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$349.97

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$305.00 – $315.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$312.47

published January 18, 2026

Confidence

69%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

JPMorgan recently sold off and could bounce, but news headlines are moving the price a lot. Executive comments this week might help sentiment, while political and legal threats about debanking create extra risk. That combination can cause quick rallies and quick downturns, so wait for the price to settle before adding.

Primary drivers

May recover after a sharp drop in a large, liquid bank
Executive comments suggest ongoing dealmaking activity
Legal and political headlines can cause big, fast price swings
Strong business quality can draw buyers once sentiment calms

How it played out

JPM: target was not reached

Lyra published JPM at $312.47 on 2026-01-18 with 12% expected growth toward $349.97. The thesis pointed to a possible bounce after a sharp drop, executive comments on dealmaking, legal and political headline risk, and strong business quality that could draw buyers once sentiment calmed.

Inside the window, JPM rose to a peak of $326.40 on 2026-02-09, a 4.5% gain. It stayed below the target and never reached $349.97. By 2026-04-18, it ended at $310.29. The thesis partially played out because there was an early rise, but the target missed.

What happened during the window

On 2026-02-18, JPMorgan Chase said it would open over 160 new Chase branches across more than 30 states in 2026. On 2026-04-14, JPMorgan Chase reported first-quarter profit of $16.5 billion and revenue of $49.84 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All JPM signals