Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) — closed signal from December 7, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on March 7, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 64 days.
The thesis — published December 7, 2025
TD offers steady income and stability alongside riskier tech stocks. The company reported a stronger quarter than expected, raised its dividend, and outlined a strategy that investors liked. Those facts pushed the share price up and improved sentiment. Because fundamentals look healthy, buying small dips aims to collect dividend income and modest share gains over a three month view.
Primary drivers
- Quarterly profit beat expectations, showing stronger results.
- Dividend was raised, indicating healthy capital and shareholder focus.
- Management outlined a strategy that investors liked and priced in.
- Overall investor mood is high, so further upside is likely limited.
How it played out
TD: target reached in 64 days
Lyra published TD at 88.32 on 2025-12-07 with an entry zone of 87 to 89. The thesis expected 10% growth toward 97.15 over a short-term window. It pointed to stronger quarterly profit than expected, a dividend raise, a strategy investors liked, and high investor mood that could limit further upside.
Inside the window, TD rose above the target. It peaked at 99.84 on 2026-02-27, with a 13% peak gain. The target was reached in 64 days. By 2026-03-07, it ended at 95.59. The published thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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