Track record · closed signal

Intuit Inc. (INTU) — closed signal from September 12, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 11, 2025 — +3.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

INTU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$642.65 – $657.59Entry zone — fair-value band

$653.16Published — price the day we called it

$769.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$703.79Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$676.01Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 43% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

+3.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+7.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.1%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$676.01

last close inside the window, ended December 11, 2025

Peak price

$703.79

peak on September 22, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published September 12, 2025

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$769.32

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$642.65 – $657.59

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$653.16

published September 12, 2025

Confidence

82%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Intuit looks temporarily pushed down even though the business is healthy. Sales rose 20.3% compared to last year, and investor mood is strong into the typical year-end strength. We like entries near the low end of the recent range and signs of increased buying. If rates steady and analysts lift forecasts, the price could rebound toward a more typical level.

Primary drivers

Shares look beaten down, signs of momentum improving, trend still up
Sales up 20.3% versus last year, showing steady demand and execution
Investor mood is positive, which can lift how the market values it
Year-end season typically helps results and can attract more buyers

How it played out

INTU: target was not reached

Lyra published INTU at 653.16 on 2025-09-12 with an 18% expected gain toward 769.32. The thesis pointed to a stock that looked pushed down while the business stayed healthy. It cited sales up 20.3% versus last year, improving momentum, positive investor mood, and typical year-end strength.

Inside the window, INTU rose to 703.79 on 2025-09-22. That was a 7.8% peak gain, but it stayed below 769.32. It never got there. The stock ended at 676.01 on 2025-12-11. The thesis partially played out because the price rose, but the published target was missed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-20, Intuit reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $3.89 billion and adjusted earnings of $3.34 per share. On 2025-11-21, Investopedia reported INTU shares were up 6% after those results.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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