Intuit Inc. (INTU) — closed signal from September 12, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 11, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 43% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published September 12, 2025
Intuit looks temporarily pushed down even though the business is healthy. Sales rose 20.3% compared to last year, and investor mood is strong into the typical year-end strength. We like entries near the low end of the recent range and signs of increased buying. If rates steady and analysts lift forecasts, the price could rebound toward a more typical level.
Primary drivers
- Shares look beaten down, signs of momentum improving, trend still up
- Sales up 20.3% versus last year, showing steady demand and execution
- Investor mood is positive, which can lift how the market values it
- Year-end season typically helps results and can attract more buyers
How it played out
INTU: target was not reached
Lyra published INTU at 653.16 on 2025-09-12 with an 18% expected gain toward 769.32. The thesis pointed to a stock that looked pushed down while the business stayed healthy. It cited sales up 20.3% versus last year, improving momentum, positive investor mood, and typical year-end strength.
Inside the window, INTU rose to 703.79 on 2025-09-22. That was a 7.8% peak gain, but it stayed below 769.32. It never got there. The stock ended at 676.01 on 2025-12-11. The thesis partially played out because the price rose, but the published target was missed.
What happened during the window
On 2025-11-20, Intuit reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $3.89 billion and adjusted earnings of $3.34 per share. On 2025-11-21, Investopedia reported INTU shares were up 6% after those results.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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