Intuit Inc. (INTU) — closed signal from September 11, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on December 10, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 30% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published September 11, 2025
Intuit looks like a strong company whose stock has slid too far recently. News highlighted the drop, but business is holding up: Q2 sales rose about 20.3% compared to last year across its main products. Early signs suggest the downward momentum is easing even if the recent average price is still drifting lower. A practical plan is to buy in steps on weakness and consider adding if the price moves back above 680 to aim for a rebound while limiting timing risk.
Primary drivers
- Positive momentum signs even though the near-term price has been weak
- Sales rose about 20% compared to last year, showing the business is strong
- Investor interest remains solid even after the recent price drop
- Recent price looks washed out, which can help with timing entries
How it played out
INTU: the target was not reached
Lyra published INTU on 2025-09-11 at 664.01, with expected growth of 20% and a target of 795.35. The thesis pointed to weak near-term price action that looked washed out, easing downward momentum, solid investor interest, and sales growth of about 20% compared to last year.
Inside the window, INTU rose to a peak of 703.79 on 2025-09-22, a 6% gain. That peak stayed below the 795.35 target. It never got there. By 2025-12-10, the stock ended at 662.43, slightly below the publication price. The thesis partially played out early, then missed the target.
What happened during the window
On November 18, 2025, Axios reported a $100 million partnership between OpenAI and Intuit. Around the same period, Investor's Business Daily reported Intuit's fiscal first quarter results, with adjusted earnings of $3.34 per share and revenue of $3.89 billion.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.