Track record · closed signal

AppLovin Corporation (APP) — closed signal from August 31, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 29, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

APP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$478.59 Published $612.60 Target $599.48 Window close $745.61 Peak
$470.00 – $480.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$478.59Published — price the day we called it
$612.60Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$745.61Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$599.48Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 17 days.

Peak price
$745.61
peak on September 29, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+55.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$599.48
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
17
Window
August 31, 2025 – November 29, 2025

The thesis — published August 31, 2025

Predicted growth
+28%
over the measurement window
Target price
$612.60
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$470.00 – $480.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$478.59
published August 31, 2025
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AppLovin is one of the strongest names right now. The price trend is steady and rising, and there are clear signs that more buyers than usual are stepping in. Fresh analyst support helps, with Scotiabank targeting $575 and Zacks calling it a Strong Buy. With solid ad-tech demand and smarter ad results from its machine learning tools, buying near $470-$480 for a 1-3 month hold looks reasonable, while staying mindful of swings.

Primary drivers

  • Scotiabank raised its price target to $575, adding confidence to the story.
  • Ad business is improving as apps earn more from ads using APP's tools.
  • Uptrend continues, with more buying interest showing up than usual.
  • Investor mood is strong, and research models were upgraded recently.

How it played out

APP: target reached in 17 days

Lyra published APP at $478.59 on 2025-08-31 for a short-term window ending 2025-11-29. The thesis expected 28% growth and pointed to a steady uptrend, stronger than usual buying interest, Scotiabank's $575 target, a Strong Buy call, ad-tech demand, and better ad results from machine learning tools. The entry zone was $470-$480.

Inside the window, APP reached the $612.60 target in 17 days. It later peaked at $745.61 on 2025-09-29, a 55.8% gain. By the end of the window it was $599.48. The thesis played out, and the target was reached.

What happened during the window

On 2025-09-05, S&P Dow Jones Indices said AppLovin would join the S&P 500 before the market opened on 2025-09-22. On 2025-11-05, AppLovin reported third-quarter earnings of $2.45 per share on $1.41 billion in revenue, and gave fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $1.59 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All APP signals