Starwood Property Trust (STWD) stock forecast — our track record
2 completed STWD stock predictions — wins and misses, nothing deleted. Each forecast was published before the outcome was known.
How our STWD forecasts have done
Lyra published 2 STWD stock forecasts beginning July 29, 2025. Both predictions covered the short term (0 to 3 months), and each was published before its outcome was known. Their scoring windows had ended by December 31, 2025. This was a small track record, so the results offered only limited evidence.
Neither forecast reached its target, but neither missed entirely. Both recorded partial progress and received a 50% success score, which was also the average success score across the 2 completed forecasts. Because every call used the same short-term horizon, there was no comparison to make with medium-term or long-term results.
The best call was published on July 29, 2025. It predicted 11% growth, while the stock rose as much as 5.3% during the scoring window. The worst call was published on October 2, 2025. It predicted 12% growth, while the stock rose as much as 0.5%. Overall, both calls moved in the predicted direction to some degree, but neither reached the forecast target.
Written from the closed signals below; refreshed when new signals close.
Closed STWD signals
| Closed | Timeframe | Predicted | At close | Peak result | Outcome | Days to target | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | |||||||
| October 27, 2025 |
At close is the return from the publication price to the last close inside the signal’s measurement window — what the window actually delivered. Peak result is the highest point inside that window, labelled as peak because it is not a realized return.
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The full public record for this symbol — wins and misses. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
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Every published signal is scored against what the stock actually did — the same way STWD was. No deleted misses, no cherry-picking.