Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) stock forecast — our track record

Lyra published 7 STWD stock forecasts starting July 26, 2025. Each prediction was published before the outcome was known, and each one was later closed and scored. All 7 used the short term (0 to 3 months) horizon. The final forecast window ended January 3, 2026. This track record covers only those closed STWD calls.

Overall, none of the 7 forecasts reached its target. One missed outright, while 6 were partial results. The average success score was 42.9%. The average peak gain was 2.2%. Since every closed call used the same short-term horizon, the short-term average score was also 42.9%. The results were consistent in one clear way: most calls got some positive movement, but not enough to reach the stated target.

The best call was published on July 29, 2025. It predicted 11% growth, and the stock rose as much as 5.3% before the window closed. That call scored 50%. The worst call was published on October 5, 2025. It predicted 12% growth, and the stock rose 0% at its peak. That call scored 0%. The record was weak on target hits, with several partial outcomes and one full miss.