Track record · closed signal

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) — closed signal from August 27, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 25, 2025 — +12.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CSCO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$67.73 Published $75.00 Target $75.91 Window close $79.63 Peak
$66.23 – $67.45Entry zone — fair-value band
$67.73Published — price the day we called it
$75.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$79.63Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$75.91Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 78 days.

At window close
+12.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+17.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$75.91
last close inside the window, ended November 25, 2025
Peak price
$79.63
peak on November 20, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
78

The thesis — published August 27, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$75.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$66.23 – $67.45
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$67.73
published August 27, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Cisco's story is improving as more companies need AI-ready networks, but its core numbers still trail some rivals. On 2025-08-27 it announced a partnership with NTT DATA and reported better results, which lifted mood. The stock looks beaten down, so buying around $67.75-$69.00 could catch a short-term lift. We keep it on Watch until orders grow steadily and the uptrend looks durable.

Primary drivers

  • NTT DATA partnership on 2025-08-27 to deliver AI-ready networking
  • Recent results came in stronger, boosting investor confidence
  • Price has been weak, making a short-term rebound more possible
  • Market needs steady order growth to lift the company's valuation

How it played out

CSCO: target reached in 78 days

Lyra published CSCO at $67.73 on 2025-08-27 with expected growth of 12%. The thesis pointed to artificial intelligence-ready network demand, an NTT DATA partnership on 2025-08-27, stronger recent results, weak price action, and the need for steadier order growth before the move looked durable.

Inside the window from 2025-08-27 to 2025-11-25, the stock reached the $75 target in 78 days. It peaked at $79.63 on 2025-11-20, a 17.6% gain. It ended at $75.91. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-12, Cisco reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $14.88 billion and raised its fiscal-year revenue outlook to $60.2 billion to $61 billion. The article also said artificial intelligence infrastructure orders from hyperscaler customers were $1.3 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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