Track record · closed signal

Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) — closed signal from August 27, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 25, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

CDE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.27 Published $14.97 Target $15.07 Window close $23.62 Peak
$12.00 – $12.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.27Published — price the day we called it
$14.97Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$23.62Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$15.07Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 14 days.

Peak price
$23.62
peak on October 16, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+92.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$15.07
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
14
Window
August 27, 2025 – November 25, 2025

The thesis — published August 27, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.97
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.00 – $12.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.27
published August 27, 2025
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coeur Mining just reported $146M in extra cash, and a major bank raised its price target. Peers are announcing deals, which keeps attention on miners. Buying around $12.00-$12.50 aims to ride the next 0-3 months as interest builds. Recent buying activity looks strong and the recent average price is rising. Biggest risk: gold and silver swings can quickly move the stock up or down.

Primary drivers

  • Aug 27, 2025: $146M extra cash generation was better than expected
  • Deal activity and investor attention in mining are lifting the group
  • More buyers than usual and price rising above its recent average
  • Results tied to gold and silver; rising metal prices boost earnings

How it played out

CDE: target reached in 14 days

Lyra published CDE at $12.27 on Aug 27, 2025, with a short-term view and 22% expected growth. The thesis pointed to $146M in extra cash generation, a bank price target raise, mining deal activity, stronger buying activity, and a rising recent average price. It also named gold and silver swings as the main risk.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $14.97 target in 14 days. It kept rising and peaked at $23.62 on Oct 16, a 92.5% gain from the publication price. By Nov 25, it ended at $15.07. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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