Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) — closed signal from August 27, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 25, 2025 — +22.8% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 14 days.
The thesis — published August 27, 2025
Coeur Mining just reported $146M in extra cash, and a major bank raised its price target. Peers are announcing deals, which keeps attention on miners. Buying around $12.00-$12.50 aims to ride the next 0-3 months as interest builds. Recent buying activity looks strong and the recent average price is rising. Biggest risk: gold and silver swings can quickly move the stock up or down.
Primary drivers
- Aug 27, 2025: $146M extra cash generation was better than expected
- Deal activity and investor attention in mining are lifting the group
- More buyers than usual and price rising above its recent average
- Results tied to gold and silver; rising metal prices boost earnings
How it played out
CDE: target reached in 14 days
Lyra published CDE at $12.27 on Aug 27, 2025, with a short-term view and 22% expected growth. The thesis pointed to $146M in extra cash generation, a bank price target raise, mining deal activity, stronger buying activity, and a rising recent average price. It also named gold and silver swings as the main risk.
Inside the window, the stock reached the $14.97 target in 14 days. It kept rising and peaked at $23.62 on Oct 16, a 92.5% gain from the publication price. By Nov 25, it ended at $15.07. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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