Track record · closed signal

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) — closed signal from August 27, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 25, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

REXR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$41.63 Published $51.35 Target $40.94 Window close $43.90 Peak
$39.77 – $41.21Entry zone — fair-value band
$41.63Published — price the day we called it
$51.35Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$43.90Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$40.94Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 21% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$43.90
peak on October 20, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+5.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$40.94
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
August 27, 2025 – November 25, 2025

The thesis — published August 27, 2025

Predicted growth
+26%
over the measurement window
Target price
$51.35
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$39.77 – $41.21
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$41.63
published August 27, 2025
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

An active investor, Elliott, took a top-five stake on 2025-08-27. The stock jumped 5.5% with lots more people buying than usual. Rexford pays steady dividends and fresh interest from big investors adds support. Buying around $41.50-$43.00 aims for a 0-3 month move as the market expects possible changes. It is a REIT (listed under Financials) and the price can be sensitive to interest rates.

Primary drivers

  • Aug 27, 2025: Elliott bought a large stake, spotlighting the stock
  • Reliable dividend record that appeals to income-focused buyers
  • Unusually heavy trading shows lots more buying than usual
  • Possible company moves that could help raise shareholder value

How it played out

REXR: target was not reached

Lyra published REXR at $41.63 on 2025-08-27 with a short-term thesis for 26% expected growth. The thesis pointed to Elliott taking a top-five stake on 2025-08-27, a 5.5% stock jump, unusually heavy trading, a reliable dividend record, and possible company moves that could help raise shareholder value.

Inside the window from 2025-08-27 to 2025-11-25, REXR peaked at $43.90 on 2025-10-20. That was a 5.4% peak gain, but it stayed below the $51.35 target. It ended at $40.94. The thesis partially played out on price, but the target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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