Track record · closed signal

The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) — closed signal from August 27, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 25, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$97.03 Published $111.27 Target $90.74 Window close $98.22 Peak
$95.95 – $97.45Entry zone — fair-value band
$97.03Published — price the day we called it
$111.27Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$98.22Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$90.74Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 8% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$98.22
peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+1.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$90.74
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
August 27, 2025 – November 25, 2025

The thesis — published August 27, 2025

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$111.27
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$95.95 – $97.45
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$97.03
published August 27, 2025
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Schwab looks ready for a steady rebound after a pullback. Recent rating notes say the setup is strong, and the business is in good shape as client activity improves. Buying around $96.50-$98.00 aims to ride a 0-3 month upswing as investors grow more comfortable with risk. The idea is to enter near this range and let the trend resume if the stock pushes past recent price hurdles, with the company's stable fundamentals backing the move.

Primary drivers

  • Aug 25, 2025 review highlighted strong, consistent price-strength ratings
  • Price looks washed out, offering a clear, controlled entry plan
  • Business appears healthy, and investor mood toward Schwab is steady
  • Client activity and new money improve as investors take on more risk

How it played out

SCHW: target was not reached

Lyra published SCHW at $97.03 on 2025-08-27 with an expected gain of 15%. The thesis pointed to strong price-strength ratings, a washed-out setup, steady investor mood, healthy fundamentals, and improving client activity as investors took on more risk.

Inside the window, SCHW peaked at $98.22 on 2025-11-12, up 1.2%. It stayed below the $111.27 target and never reached it. By 2025-11-25, it ended at $90.74. The thesis missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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