Track record · closed signal

Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) — closed signal from August 26, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 24, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

AM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.49 Published $19.00 Target $17.56 Window close $19.58 Peak
$16.97 – $17.27Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.49Published — price the day we called it
$19.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$19.58Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$17.56Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 29 days.

Peak price
$19.58
peak on September 26, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+11.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$17.56
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
29
Window
August 26, 2025 – November 24, 2025

The thesis — published August 26, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$19.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.97 – $17.27
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.49
published August 26, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Antero Midstream is an income-focused energy pick that may bounce after a recent drop. Liquefied natural gas and offshore projects are busy, keeping its pipelines and water services useful even when gas prices swing. Buying interest has cooled and the recent average price is drifting down, so view this as a 0-3 month rebound idea, sized small with a clear exit. Results still depend on contracts and how much gas moves.

Primary drivers

  • Investor mood is very positive, and the price has fallen a lot lately
  • Busy liquefied natural gas projects should keep gas moving through pipes
  • Steady fee-based pipeline business brings in reliable, predictable cash
  • Price trend looks weak now and may take time to improve meaningfully

How it played out

AM: target reached in 29 days

Lyra published AM at $17.49 on 2025-08-26 as a short-term rebound idea with 10% expected growth and a $19 target. The thesis pointed to very positive investor mood after a recent price drop, busy liquefied natural gas projects, steady fee-based pipeline cash flow, and a weak price trend that could take time to improve.

Inside the window, AM reached a $19.58 peak on 2025-09-26. That was above the $19 target, with an 11.9% peak gain, and the target was reached in 29 days. By 2025-11-24, it ended at $17.56. The thesis played out, but the move did not hold through the end of the window.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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