Track record · closed signal

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — closed signal from July 5, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 3, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

ORCL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$236.41 Published $294.37 Target $285.64 Window close $345.12 Peak
$223.27 – $233.19Entry zone — fair-value band
$236.41Published — price the day we called it
$294.37Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$345.12Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$285.64Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 67 days.

Peak price
$345.12
peak on September 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+46%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$285.64
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
67
Window
July 5, 2025 – October 3, 2025

The thesis — published July 5, 2025

Predicted growth
+25%
over the measurement window
Target price
$294.37
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$223.27 – $233.19
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$236.41
published July 5, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Oracle just landed a $30 billion multiyear cloud order that proves its new AI-ready data centers are wanted. The news is attracting many more buyers than normal, lifting optimism. Past trading shows drops toward the recent average price last only a few days, giving patient investors a safer entry. September results and any OpenAI update could then drive the stock toward $280-$290 within three months.

Primary drivers

  • $30 billion cloud order brings several years of steady AI-related sales.
  • Price is climbing faster than before, showing the uptrend is picking up speed.
  • Very positive mood and higher trading levels hint that big funds are buying.
  • Brief dips to the recent average price have come before every new record.

How it played out

ORCL: target reached in 67 days

Lyra published ORCL at $236.41 on 2025-07-05 with 25% expected growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to a $30 billion multiyear cloud order, demand for artificial-intelligence-ready data centers, stronger buying, higher trading levels, and a pattern where brief dips had come before new records.

Inside the window, ORCL reached the $294.37 target in 67 days. It peaked at $345.12 on 2025-09-10, with a 46% peak gain. By 2025-10-03, it had pulled back to $285.64. The target was reached, then the stock gave back part of the move before the window closed.

What happened during the window

On September 9, 2025, Oracle reported fiscal first-quarter results, and Investors.com said remaining performance obligations rose to $455 billion. On September 22, 2025, AP reported that Oracle appointed Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia as co-CEOs, while Safra Catz moved to executive vice chair.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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