Track record · closed signal

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (SKX) — closed signal from August 24, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 22, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

SKX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$63.00 Published $73.08 Target $63.13 Window close $63.37 Peak
$61.00 – $64.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$63.00Published — price the day we called it
$73.08Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$63.37Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$63.13Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 4% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$63.37
peak on September 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+0.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$63.13
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
August 24, 2025 – November 22, 2025

The thesis — published August 24, 2025

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$73.08
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$61.00 – $64.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$63.00
published August 24, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Skechers looks like a stock that fell too far and may be ready to turn up. Big investors are showing interest, and being on Goldman's VIP list can draw even more attention. The company is growing direct sales overseas, which can steady results. Still, shopper and currency challenges could weigh on demand, so consider starting small, add only if the price strengthens, and take profits if the rise slows at higher levels.

Primary drivers

  • Short-term signs suggest the slide may be ending and a rebound could start
  • Direct sales and international expansion are growing, adding stability
  • Added to a top fund list, likely drawing more attention from large investors
  • Large-fund interest can help keep the stock steadier in choppy markets

How it played out

SKX: target was not reached

Lyra published SKX at $63 for a short-term window from 2025-08-24 to 2025-11-22. The thesis expected 16% growth and a move toward $73.08. It pointed to a possible rebound after a slide, direct sales and international expansion, added attention from a top fund list, and large-fund interest that could help steady the stock.

Inside the window, SKX peaked at $63.37 on 2025-09-11, a 0.6% gain. It stayed below the target. The signal ended at $63.13. The thesis only partially played out: the stock held near the publication price, but the expected rebound did not arrive.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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