Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from August 24, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 22, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$78.69 Published $87.67 Target $83.11 Window close $88.64 Peak
$76.20 – $80.15Entry zone — fair-value band
$78.69Published — price the day we called it
$87.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$88.64Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$83.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 80 days.

Peak price
$88.64
peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$83.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
80
Window
August 24, 2025 – November 22, 2025

The thesis — published August 24, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$87.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$76.20 – $80.15
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$78.69
published August 24, 2025
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Wells Fargo appears to have steady buying behind it, helped by a friendlier setup for banks. There are signs that lots more people are buying than usual, and profits per share have risen about 13% a year over the last three years. The stock has recently done better than the S&P 500. If interest rates are cut, fees and credit trends should look steadier. Consider buying on dips, add if strength is confirmed, and keep risk tight near news.

Primary drivers

  • Recent price strength with lots more people buying than usual lately
  • Profits per share grew 13% each year over the past three years
  • Lately the stock has beaten the S&P 500, showing stronger performance
  • Possible rate cuts could help bank fees and make lending look steadier

How it played out

WFC: target reached in 80 days

Lyra published WFC on 2025-08-24 at $78.69, with expected growth of 12%. The thesis pointed to steady buying, a friendlier bank setup, stronger recent performance than the S&P 500, profits per share rising about 13% a year over the past three years, and possible rate cuts helping fees and lending look steadier.

Inside the window, WFC reached a peak of $88.64 on 2025-11-12. That was above the $87.67 target, with a peak gain of 12.6%. The target was reached in 80 days. By 2025-11-22, the stock ended at $83.11. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On October 14, 2025, Wells Fargo reported third-quarter earnings of $1.66 per share on revenue of $21.44 billion, according to Investor's Business Daily. On October 25, 2025, Wells Fargo began changes to its Everyday Checking fee-waiver rules, according to The Sun.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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