Track record · closed signal

GE Aerospace (GE) — closed signal from August 24, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 22, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$265.90 Published $310.37 Target $287.11 Window close $316.31 Peak
$256.78 – $270.72Entry zone — fair-value band
$265.90Published — price the day we called it
$310.37Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$316.31Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$287.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 58 days.

Peak price
$316.31
peak on October 28, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$287.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
58
Window
August 24, 2025 – November 22, 2025

The thesis — published August 24, 2025

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$310.37
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$256.78 – $270.72
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$265.90
published August 24, 2025
Confidence
81%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE Aerospace looks temporarily beaten down, but the business is solid. A big part of profits comes from engine service and defense work, which tends to be steady, and parts are flowing better. The new RISE open-fan project aims to cut fuel and emissions by 20%, showing staying power and a healthy order book. With the reset behind it and improving trends, the stock could work back toward earlier highs.

Primary drivers

  • Shares look temporarily knocked down, but the company remains high quality.
  • Service and defense work bring steadier cash to balance ups and downs.
  • RISE engine aims for 20% less fuel use, a clear benefit airlines value.
  • Positive mood and a large order book help support future results.

How it played out

GE: target reached in 58 days

Lyra published GE at $265.90 on 2025-08-24 with expected growth of 17%. The thesis pointed to a high quality business that looked temporarily knocked down, steadier service and defense work, better parts flow, the RISE open-fan project's 20% fuel and emissions goal, positive mood, and a large order book.

Inside the window, GE reached a peak of $316.31 on 2025-10-28. That was above the $310.37 target, with a 19% peak gain. The target was reached in 58 days. By 2025-11-22, the stock ended at $287.11. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-15, Axios reported that GE Aerospace announced a $30 million, five-year workforce skills training program. On 2025-10-21, MarketWatch reported that GE Aerospace posted quarterly profit and revenue above expectations and raised its full-year profit outlook.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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