Track record · closed signal

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (SKX) — closed signal from August 23, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 21, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

SKX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$63.00 Published $73.71 Target $63.13 Window close $63.37 Peak
$62.00 – $63.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$63.00Published — price the day we called it
$73.71Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$63.37Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$63.13Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 4% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$63.37
peak on September 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+0.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$63.13
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
August 23, 2025 – November 21, 2025

The thesis — published August 23, 2025

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$73.71
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$62.00 – $63.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$63.00
published August 23, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Skechers' stock has fallen hard, which can set up a short-term bounce, and the holiday months often help shoe sales. Well-known funds list it as a favorite, which can draw more buyers and speed a rebound. The business looks solid, with growth overseas and more direct-to-consumer sales helping profits. Buy near the listed range, and add only if the price clearly starts moving upward.

Primary drivers

  • Stock fell a lot and now sits near a commonly watched price area
  • Named on top funds' favorites list, drawing attention from big buyers
  • Growing overseas and more direct-to-consumer sales support profits
  • Holiday shopping season usually boosts demand for shoes

How it played out

SKX: target was not reached

Lyra published SKX at 63 on 2025-08-23 with 17% expected growth. The thesis pointed to a sharp prior fall, a price area that traders often watched, attention from well-known funds, overseas growth, more direct-to-consumer sales, and holiday demand for shoes.

Inside the window, SKX peaked at 63.37 on 2025-09-11, a 0.6% gain. That stayed below the 73.71 target. It never got there. The stock ended the window at 63.13 on 2025-11-21, so the published thesis missed on price.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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