Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from August 23, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 21, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$78.69 Published $87.67 Target $83.11 Window close $88.64 Peak
$77.19 – $78.67Entry zone — fair-value band
$78.69Published — price the day we called it
$87.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$88.64Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$83.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 81 days.

Peak price
$88.64
peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$83.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
81
Window
August 23, 2025 – November 21, 2025

The thesis — published August 23, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$87.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$77.19 – $78.67
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$78.69
published August 23, 2025
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Wells Fargo is seeing more buyers step in than usual, which often signals steady momentum over the next few months. Reports note earnings per share up 13% over three years and recent strong results, adding confidence. If rate cuts happen, borrowing and fee income can improve while credit worries ease. Consider buying small pullbacks, and only add if the stock closes at new highs, showing strong interest from large investors.

Primary drivers

  • More buyers than usual and a positive, strengthening price trend
  • Earnings per share are rising, helped by running the business leaner
  • Possible rate cuts could lift borrowing activity and related fees
  • Strong share buybacks/dividends and tight cost control to boost profits

How it played out

WFC: target reached in 81 days

Lyra published WFC at 78.69 on 2025-08-23 with a short-term 12% expected gain. The thesis pointed to more buyers than usual, a strengthening price trend, earnings per share up 13% over three years, possible rate cuts, share buybacks, dividends, and tight cost control.

Inside the window, WFC reached the 87.67 target. It peaked at 88.64 on 2025-11-12, with a 12.6% gain, and reached the target in 81 days. By 2025-11-21, it ended at 83.11. The thesis played out on price.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-14, Wells Fargo reported third-quarter earnings of 1.66 per share on 21.44 billion revenue. Barron's also reported on 2025-10-14 that the bank raised its return-on-tangible-common-equity target to 17% to 18%.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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