Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from August 23, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 21, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.71 Published $17.79 Target $8.24 Window close $13.55 Peak
$12.10 – $12.90Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.71Published — price the day we called it
$17.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$13.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$8.24Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 16% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$13.55
peak on August 25, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+6.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$8.24
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
August 23, 2025 – November 21, 2025

The thesis — published August 23, 2025

Predicted growth
+40%
over the measurement window
Target price
$17.79
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.10 – $12.90
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.71
published August 23, 2025
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

UP Fintech's price has been climbing with strong buying interest and heavy trading, pointing to more near-term upside. Q2 results on Aug 27 and a new Citi target of $14 keep attention high, while friendlier crypto rules in Hong Kong could open new products. Because the price has run up quickly, sharp swings are possible; consider buying brief dips or waiting for strong follow-through after results over the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Aug 27 Q2 results may move the stock if the numbers surprise.
  • Strong rise with lots more people buying than usual recently.
  • Hong Kong crypto shift can widen the potential customer base.
  • Citi's new $14 target adds attention and near-term credibility.

How it played out

TIGR: the target was not reached

Lyra published TIGR at $12.71 on 2025-08-23 with a short-term thesis for 40% growth. The thesis pointed to strong buying interest, heavy trading, Q2 results due on Aug 27, Citi's $14 target, and possible new products from friendlier crypto rules in Hong Kong. It also noted that sharp swings were possible after the quick rise.

Inside the window, TIGR peaked at $13.55 on 2025-08-25, a 6.6% gain. That was still below the $17.79 target. It never got there. By 2025-11-21, the stock ended at $8.24. The thesis missed.

What happened during the window

On Aug. 27, 2025, UP Fintech reported Q2 earnings per share of nearly $0.23, compared with $0.03 a year earlier. Revenue was $138.7 million, up 59%. The company also said it added 39,800 new customers in the second quarter and had more than 100,000 additions year to date.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals