Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from August 22, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 20, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$33.16 Published $38.93 Target $38.10 Window close $40.44 Peak
$31.88 – $33.36Entry zone — fair-value band
$33.16Published — price the day we called it
$38.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$40.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$38.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 40 days.

Peak price
$40.44
peak on November 20, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+22%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$38.10
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
40
Window
August 22, 2025 – November 20, 2025

The thesis — published August 22, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$38.93
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$31.88 – $33.36
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$33.16
published August 22, 2025
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Recent downgrades on the whole energy group and headlines about too much gas pushed the stock down even though the company is executing well. At the same time, news showed it beat Q2 earnings and plans to produce more, which points to company strength versus rivals. Because gas prices often drift back toward typical levels, we see room for a rebound: start a position near this range and add if buying strength clearly improves.

Primary drivers

  • Pulled down by broad downgrades, leaving shares beaten up short term
  • Q2 results beat expectations, and management raised its production plans
  • Operations and results look stronger than many rivals in the group
  • Gas prices often move back toward typical levels after sharp swings

How it played out

RRC: target reached in 40 days

Lyra published RRC at $33.16 on 2025-08-22, with 18% expected growth and a $38.93 target. The thesis pointed to broad energy downgrades and gas oversupply headlines that had pushed the stock down. It also pointed to a Q2 beat, higher production plans, stronger operations than rivals, and the possibility that gas prices could move back toward typical levels.

Inside the window, RRC rose to a $40.44 peak on 2025-11-20. The stock reached the $38.93 target in 40 days. It ended at $38.10, below the target but still above the publication price. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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