Honeywell International Inc. (HON) — closed signal from August 20, 2025
Missed Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 18, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Never rose above the publication price inside the window.
The thesis — published August 20, 2025
Honeywell may be starting to recover after a pullback, with investor mood improving even though recent price signs are still mixed. Management raised its view for 2025 sales growth, and the company is seen as important in pipeline safety, which should keep orders steadier. Consider buying in small steps near the lower range and add only if price firms, balancing opportunity with caution as the economy and ordering trends settle.
Primary drivers
- Possible early price turn forming in a high-quality, well-run industrial
- Management raised guidance for 2025 sales, improving confidence among investors.
- Growing role in pipeline safety should support steady demand over coming years.
- Investor mood is upbeat even though some recent price signs are soft
How it played out
HON: the thesis missed as the stock fell
Lyra published HON at 216.37 on 2025-08-20, with 13% expected growth and a target of 243.05. The thesis pointed to a possible early price turn after a pullback, raised 2025 sales guidance, pipeline safety demand, and upbeat investor mood despite mixed recent price signs.
Inside the window, the best print was 208.93 on 2025-08-22. That was still a -3.4% peak gain, so the stock never reached the target. It ended the window at 191.45. The thesis missed.
What happened during the window
On October 23, 2025, Honeywell reported third-quarter results, including adjusted earnings of $2.82 per share and revenue of $10.4 billion. The same day, the company raised its 2025 earnings outlook and said the Solstice Advanced Materials spinoff was set for October 30.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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