Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from August 20, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 18, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$68.17 – $69.15Entry zone — fair-value band

$70.40Published — price the day we called it

$75.62Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$71.39Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$70.72Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 16% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$71.39

peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+1.4%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$70.72

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

August 20, 2025 – November 18, 2025

The thesis — published August 20, 2025

Predicted growth

+9%

over the measurement window

Target price

$75.62

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$68.17 – $69.15

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$70.40

published August 20, 2025

Confidence

63%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Buying interest looks strong, but the price has already run and could cool. Costa Coffee going into Holiday Inn Express hotels puts the brand in front of more travelers, supporting steady demand. Over the next 0-3 months, buy on small dips rather than chase. Look for a slow, steady climb in this defensive name, and trim if staples weaken.

Primary drivers

Buying interest looks strong, with heavier-than-usual trading activity.
Positive mood around the stock helps steady demand for this defensive brand.
Costa Coffee deal puts products in more places, expanding where customers buy.
Well-known brands can raise prices when needed without losing many buyers.

How it played out

KO: target was not reached in the window

Lyra published KO at 70.4 on 2025-08-20. The thesis expected 9% growth toward 75.62 over the short term. It pointed to strong buying interest, a positive mood around the stock, the Costa Coffee deal putting products in more places, and the pricing power of well-known brands.

Inside the 2025-08-20 to 2025-11-18 window, KO rose, but not enough. The peak was 71.39 on 2025-11-12, a 1.4% gain. It never reached 75.62. The signal ended at 70.72. The thesis partly played out as a small rise, but it missed the stated target.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-21, The Coca-Cola Company reported third-quarter results. AP reported 6% organic revenue growth and adjusted earnings of 82 cents per share. On 2025-10-21, Business Insider reported that CEO James Quincey said the Costa Coffee investment had not worked as expected.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All KO signals