Track record · closed signal

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) — closed signal from August 20, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 18, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

COCO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$36.22 Published $43.46 Target $46.59 Window close $50.50 Peak
$35.00 – $36.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$36.22Published — price the day we called it
$43.46Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$50.50Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$46.59Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 44 days.

Peak price
$50.50
peak on November 17, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+39.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$46.59
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
44
Window
August 20, 2025 – November 18, 2025

The thesis — published August 20, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$43.46
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$35.00 – $36.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$36.22
published August 20, 2025
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vita Coco is riding a positive mood in the market. The trend looks up, the recent average price is rising, and there is more buying than usual. Recent analysis points to about 12.7% average sales growth, matching the shift toward healthier drinks. In a generally upbeat market, we prefer buying small pullbacks near recent averages instead of chasing quick spikes, aiming for a return to recent highs over the next quarter.

Primary drivers

  • Uptrend signals with rising recent average price and strong momentum
  • About 12.7% sales growth backs the story of steady demand and execution
  • Stronger investor mood, with prices pushing higher and interest increasing
  • The shift toward healthier drinks is lifting the whole category

How it played out

COCO: target reached in 44 days

Lyra published COCO at 36.22 on 2025-08-20, with expected growth of 20%. The thesis pointed to an uptrend, a rising recent average price, stronger buying interest, about 12.7% average sales growth, and demand tied to healthier drinks. It aimed for 43.46 over the short-term window.

Inside the window, COCO reached the target in 44 days. The peak was 50.5 on 2025-11-17, with a peak gain of 39.4%. It ended the window at 46.59 on 2025-11-18, still above the target. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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