Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (TIGR) — closed signal from August 20, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 18, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$10.21 Published $13.48 Target $9.09 Window close $13.55 Peak
$9.90 – $10.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$10.21Published — price the day we called it
$13.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$13.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$9.09Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 5 days.

Peak price
$13.55
peak on August 25, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$9.09
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
5
Window
August 20, 2025 – November 18, 2025

The thesis — published August 20, 2025

Predicted growth
+32%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.48
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$9.90 – $10.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$10.21
published August 20, 2025
Confidence
90%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Several signs point to buyers gaining the upper hand soon, and the mood is constructive. Results arrive on Aug 27, and Citi recently rated it Buy with a $14 goal, which could draw fresh attention. Rising activity in Hong Kong and interest in digital assets can help. Consider starting near the lower end of its recent range to limit any sudden moves around earnings, and add only if demand stays strong afterward.

Primary drivers

  • Aug 27 Q2 results plus Citi says Buy with a $14 price goal
  • Momentum looks ready to turn up, with more buyers stepping in
  • Positive mood and more activity from everyday investors
  • Potential growth from Hong Kong trading and digital assets

How it played out

TIGR: target reached in 5 days

Lyra published TIGR at 10.21 on 2025-08-20. The thesis expected 32% growth over the short-term window. It pointed to Aug. 27 Q2 results, Citi's Buy rating with a $14 goal, stronger buyer momentum, a constructive mood among everyday investors, and possible growth from Hong Kong trading and digital assets.

Inside the window, TIGR reached the target. The stock peaked at 13.55 on 2025-08-25, above the 13.48 target, with a 32.7% peak gain. It got there in 5 days. By 2025-11-18, it ended at 9.09. The thesis played out on the target test, then the move faded.

What happened during the window

On Aug. 27, UP Fintech reported second-quarter earnings. Investors.com reported revenue of $138.7 million, 59% growth, and nearly $0.23 in earnings per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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