Track record · closed signal

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) — closed signal from August 19, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 17, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

ISRG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$482.53 Published $574.20 Target $546.71 Window close $580.47 Peak
$478.00 – $485.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$482.53Published — price the day we called it
$574.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$580.47Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$546.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 83 days.

Peak price
$580.47
peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$546.71
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
83
Window
August 19, 2025 – November 17, 2025

The thesis — published August 19, 2025

Predicted growth
+19%
over the measurement window
Target price
$574.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$478.00 – $485.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$482.53
published August 19, 2025
Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Intuitive Surgical appears to be gaining speed again, backed by real results. Many more buyers than usual are stepping in, and the latest quarter was strong: sales grew 21.4% from last year, profit per share beat expectations, and surgeries using its robots rose 17% worldwide. Investor mood is upbeat and the firm still leads its field. If the recent average price keeps improving, it could revisit prior highs over the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Buying interest looks stronger than usual, suggesting momentum is improving
  • Q2 results beat expectations, showing customers are buying more
  • Robot-assisted surgeries rose 17%, reinforcing steady, repeat demand
  • Investors are positive, and the company remains the clear leader

How it played out

ISRG: target reached in 83 days

Lyra published ISRG at 482.53 on 2025-08-19 with expected growth of 19%. The thesis pointed to stronger-than-usual buying interest, Q2 results that beat expectations, sales growth of 21.4%, profit per share above expectations, and robot-assisted surgeries up 17% worldwide.

Inside the window, the stock reached the 574.2 target in 83 days. It peaked at 580.47 on 2025-11-12, a 20.3% gain from publication. By 2025-11-17, it ended at 546.71. The thesis played out, even though the stock gave back part of the move before the window closed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-22, Investopedia reported that Intuitive Surgical's third-quarter adjusted earnings were $2.40 per share and revenue was $2.51 billion. On 2025-11-04, Investor's Business Daily reported 23% sales growth and 20% procedure growth from the same third-quarter report.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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