Track record · closed signal

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) — closed signal from August 19, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 17, 2025 — +13.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ISRG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$478.00 – $485.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$482.53Published — price the day we called it

$574.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$580.47Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$546.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 83 days.

At window close

+13.3%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+20.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+4.3%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$546.71

last close inside the window, ended November 17, 2025

Peak price

$580.47

peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published August 19, 2025

Predicted growth

+19%

over the measurement window

Target price

$574.20

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$478.00 – $485.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$482.53

published August 19, 2025

Confidence

84%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Intuitive Surgical appears to be gaining speed again, backed by real results. Many more buyers than usual are stepping in, and the latest quarter was strong: sales grew 21.4% from last year, profit per share beat expectations, and surgeries using its robots rose 17% worldwide. Investor mood is upbeat and the firm still leads its field. If the recent average price keeps improving, it could revisit prior highs over the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

Buying interest looks stronger than usual, suggesting momentum is improving
Q2 results beat expectations, showing customers are buying more
Robot-assisted surgeries rose 17%, reinforcing steady, repeat demand
Investors are positive, and the company remains the clear leader

How it played out

ISRG: target reached in 83 days

Lyra published ISRG at 482.53 on 2025-08-19 with expected growth of 19%. The thesis pointed to stronger-than-usual buying interest, Q2 results that beat expectations, sales growth of 21.4%, profit per share above expectations, and robot-assisted surgeries up 17% worldwide.

Inside the window, the stock reached the 574.2 target in 83 days. It peaked at 580.47 on 2025-11-12, a 20.3% gain from publication. By 2025-11-17, it ended at 546.71. The thesis played out, even though the stock gave back part of the move before the window closed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-22, Investopedia reported that Intuitive Surgical's third-quarter adjusted earnings were $2.40 per share and revenue was $2.51 billion. On 2025-11-04, Investor's Business Daily reported 23% sales growth and 20% procedure growth from the same third-quarter report.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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