Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from August 19, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 17, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 35 days.
The thesis — published August 19, 2025
Wells Fargo looks due for a careful bounce after a stretch of selling, suggesting sellers are tiring. But a key trend signal is still negative, so it makes sense to start small and add only if things improve. As earnings pass and rate swings calm down, the stock could drift back toward earlier price levels over the next 0-3 months. We would add if many bank stocks firm up and the slide slows. We will be patient and let the price prove it can stabilize.
Primary drivers
- Recent selloff looks overdone, while overall mood toward the bank is upbeat.
- Trend signal still negative, so begin small and add only on improvement.
- Calmer interest rates can help bank profits and ease investor worries.
- Aim for a move back toward the stock's usual price area from recent months.
How it played out
WFC: target reached in 35 days
Lyra published WFC at 77.13 on 2025-08-19 with expected growth of 10%. The thesis pointed to an overdone selloff, upbeat mood toward the bank, a still negative trend signal, calmer interest rates, and a possible move back toward its usual price area from recent months.
Inside the window, WFC reached the 84.4 target in 35 days. It later peaked at 88.64 on 2025-11-12, a 14.9% gain. By 2025-11-17, it ended at 83.42. The thesis played out, though the final price sat below the target.
What happened during the window
On October 14, 2025, Barron's reported that Wells Fargo posted third-quarter earnings of 1.66 per share and raised its return on tangible common equity target to 17% to 18%. The article also reported that WFC shares rose 7.2% that day.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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