Track record · closed signal

Dayforce Inc. (DAY) — closed signal from July 3, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 1, 2025 — +20.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

DAY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$55.00 – $58.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$57.27Published — price the day we called it

$67.58Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$69.85Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$68.95Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 46 days.

At window close

+20.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+22%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+7.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$68.95

last close inside the window, ended October 1, 2025

Peak price

$69.85

peak on August 28, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 3, 2025

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$67.58

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$55.00 – $58.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$57.27

published July 3, 2025

Confidence

63%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Dayforce shares have slid about 25% from their high earlier this year, so many traders think most of the selling pressure may already be over. On 2 Jul the company refreshed its Canadian small-business payroll package, now called Powerpay, and management believes this alone could add roughly $50 million in yearly subscription income. Analysts still aim for $67.73. If buyers return, a move back toward $64, or about 18% up, looks reachable within three months.

Primary drivers

Powerpay rebrand could bring in about $50 million in yearly sales from small firms.
Price charts hint the stock may bounce after a recent pullback and calmer trading.
Analysts target $67.73, roughly 23% higher, and market mood toward the stock is strong.
Internal rating stays high at 73 even after the drop, suggesting the business remains solid.

How it played out

DAY: target reached in 46 days

Lyra published DAY at 57.27 on 2025-07-03. The thesis expected 18% growth, with a target of 67.58. It pointed to the Powerpay rebrand, about $50 million in possible yearly sales from small firms, a possible bounce after the pullback, analyst targets of 67.73, and an internal rating of 73.

Inside the window, DAY rose above the target. It peaked at 69.85 on 2025-08-28, with a 22% gain, and reached the target in 46 days. It ended at 68.95 on 2025-10-01. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On August 20, 2025, Dayforce confirmed advanced talks with Thoma Bravo. On August 21, 2025, Dayforce announced an all-cash take-private agreement valued at $12.3 billion at $70 per share.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All DAY signals