Track record · closed signal

QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) — closed signal from August 17, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 15, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

QCOM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$156.16 Published $185.38 Target $173.10 Window close $204.90 Peak
$152.68 – $156.59Entry zone — fair-value band
$156.16Published — price the day we called it
$185.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$204.90Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$173.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 71 days.

Peak price
$204.90
peak on October 27, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+31.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$173.10
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
71
Window
August 17, 2025 – November 15, 2025

The thesis — published August 17, 2025

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$185.38
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$152.68 – $156.59
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$156.16
published August 17, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Qualcomm looks set for a near-term climb because buying pressure is picking up and the recent average price is turning higher. The Android phone cycle is adding AI features, and the company is winning more parts in cars. On Jul 31, a research firm kept a Buy with a $200 target, and Aug 15 work pointed to fast AI-in-car growth through 2029. Main risks are weaker China phones and changes in its radio chips mix.

Primary drivers

  • Price action is improving, showing buyers are gaining strength lately
  • Chips with on-device AI and more parts per car should lift sales
  • Recent analyst target supports the idea of more room to rise
  • Stronger trading activity suggests more buying interest than usual

How it played out

QCOM: target reached in 71 days

Lyra published QCOM at 156.16 with 20% expected growth and a 185.38 target. The thesis pointed to improving price action, stronger buying activity, on-device artificial intelligence chips, more parts per car, and analyst support from a $200 target. It also named weaker China phones and radio chip mix changes as risks.

Inside the window, QCOM reached the target in 71 days. The peak was 204.9 on 2025-10-27, with a 31.2% gain. It ended at 173.1, below the peak but still above the publication price. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On October 7, 2025, Qualcomm announced a plan to acquire Arduino, while Arduino introduced the UNO Q board. On November 5, 2025, Qualcomm reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $11.3 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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