Track record · closed signal

Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) — closed signal from August 16, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 14, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

CRM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$241.63 Published $293.80 Target $243.27 Window close $266.70 Peak
$236.41 – $241.38Entry zone — fair-value band
$241.63Published — price the day we called it
$293.80Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$266.70Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$243.27Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 47% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$266.70
peak on October 21, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$243.27
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
August 16, 2025 – November 14, 2025

The thesis — published August 16, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$293.80
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$236.41 – $241.38
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$241.63
published August 16, 2025
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Investor interest is strong, but the stock has been choppy without a clear push higher. A small, pre-planned CEO sale drew headlines but likely does not change the business. AI upgrades and product combining continue. We expect a few months of steadiness, then a turn upward. Consider buying in small steps near $238-$243 while waiting for a clearer upward trend, and add only after proof of follow-through.

Primary drivers

  • Many investors are positive; steady buying shows ongoing interest
  • A planned CEO stock sale made headlines but likely does not change the story
  • Price action is uneven and recent average price has flattened
  • AI upgrades and product unification continue, building long-term value

How it played out

CRM: target was not reached

Lyra published CRM at $241.63 on 2025-08-16 with 22% expected growth and a $293.80 target by 2025-11-14. The thesis pointed to positive investor interest, a planned CEO sale that likely did not change the story, uneven price action, flattened recent average price, artificial intelligence upgrades, and product unification.

Inside the window, CRM rose but did not reach the target. The peak was $266.70 on 2025-10-21, a 10.4% gain, which stayed below $293.80. It ended at $243.27 on 2025-11-14. The thesis partially played out: direction was right, but the expected move did not arrive.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-09, Axios reported that Salesforce planned to announce voice and hybrid reasoning features for its agent products at Dreamforce. On 2025-10-16, MarketWatch reported that Salesforce projected over $60 billion in revenue by fiscal 2030 during its Dreamforce analyst day.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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