Track record · closed signal

Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) — closed signal from August 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 4, 2026 — +9.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

QCOM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$158.48 Published $179.69 Target $173.19 Window close $205.85 Peak
$152.34 – $158.27Entry zone — fair-value band
$158.48Published — price the day we called it
$179.69Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$205.85Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$173.19Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 33 days.

At window close
+9.3%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+29.9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+0%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$173.19
last close inside the window, ended November 4, 2026
Peak price
$205.85
peak on September 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
33

The thesis — published August 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$179.69
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$152.34 – $158.27
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$158.48
published August 6, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Qualcomm looks like a value recovery idea: profits are solid and a new BMW computing deal expands automotive work beyond phones. The stock trades below its short-term trend and momentum is weak with only average trading, so any stabilization is not yet certain. Falling sales and profits are the main concern, and car timing, phone demand, debt, and chip market swings limit conviction.

Primary drivers

  • BMW deal increases work with car makers
  • Snapdragon chips enable on-device AI features
  • Strong profits help weather slow periods
  • Lower valuation leaves room for re-rating

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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