Track record · closed signal

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) — closed signal from August 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 4, 2026 — +12.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

TXN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$277.66 Published $309.47 Target $311.49 Window close $317.20 Peak
$267.38 – $275.31Entry zone — fair-value band
$277.66Published — price the day we called it
$309.47Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$317.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$311.49Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 84 days.

At window close
+12.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+14.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+0%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$311.49
last close inside the window, ended November 4, 2026
Peak price
$317.20
peak on November 4, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
84

The thesis — published August 6, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$309.47
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$267.38 – $275.31
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$277.66
published August 6, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Texas Instruments looks positioned to benefit if the broader chip industry improves because its sales and profits are getting better and it sells into many steady markets like industry and cars. Price is near a short-term support area, but selling pressure and light trading mean the recovery is not yet confirmed. High valuation and debt keep conviction limited.

Primary drivers

  • Stronger profit results support a cyclical rebound
  • Sales to industrial and auto customers widen demand
  • Large analog business helps keep profit margins steady
  • Recent positive coverage improves market sentiment

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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